Georgia vs Alabama Predictions – NCAAF SEC Championship Betting Odds, Spreads & Picks 2023

It’s the game everyone anticipated at the start of the year: Georgia vs. Alabama for the SEC title. While both teams have gotten to this point in different fashion our college football betting picks are backing the champs until they are the champs no more.

No game this weekend will have a bigger impact on the College Football Playoff than the SEC Championship game. It is a dream college football matchup as the No. 1 Georgia Bulldogs take on the No. 8 Alabama Crimson Tide.

Georgia enters this epic matchup, winners of 29 games in a row. The Bulldogs’ last loss? To Alabama in the SEC title game back in 2021.  

While Georgia may still have a shot at the CFP with a loss, Alabama’s only path there is a victory in this game. Bama has won 10 in a row following an early-season loss to Texas. But it won’t be easy as the college football odds have the Bulldogs as moderate favorites. 

Can the Tide roll as rare underdogs? Or will the Dawgs cover the spread on their way to a historic 30th straight victory?

I break down the SEC Championship game odds and bring the best bet in my college football picks and predictions for Alabama vs. Georgia on Saturday, December 2. 

Georgia vs Alabama best odds

Georgia vs Alabama picks and predictions

No title game this weekend will have a bigger impact on the College Football Playoff than the SEC Championship. 

A win by the Georgia Bulldogs likely locks up the No. 1 seed and essentially, eliminates Alabama. No two-loss team has ever made the CFP, but if Bama wins things get interesting.

Georgia is approximately a 6-point favorite for this matchup and a big reason for that has been the development of quarterback Carson Beck.

People wondered how Georgia would fare without Stetson Bennett. Well, the answer is, just fine thank you. Beck has been uber-efficient, throwing for 3,495 yards while completing 72.4% of his passes with 22 touchdowns compared to just six interceptions.

Beck also has the pleasure of throwing the ball to arguably college football’s best pass catcher, Brock Bowers. Overall, Georgia ranks fifth in yards per play and third in offensive success rate. 

Now, this is an interesting year, because the argument can be made that the roles are reversed this season and Alabama actually has the better defense and it’s Georgia with the better offense. 

The Tide ranks eighth in defensive success rate, however, in their two games vs. good offenses (Texas and LSU) they allowed 464 yards per game and 7.1 yards per play. While Bama might have the better defense Georgia is no slouch on that side of the ball either, ranking 13th in opponent yards per play and 33rd in defensive success rate. 

Even though Tide QB Jalen Milroe has taken big strides this season this offense has its issues at times. Solid defenses have given them trouble. Texas. Texas A&M. Auburn. Alabama is averaging 26.7 points in those matchups and is just 1-2 ATS. 

The Tide have also been known for getting off to slow starts this season. In matchups against Texas, Texas A&M, LSU, and Auburn they have a -7 point differential heading into the break. While Georgia ranks eighth in the nation putting up 21.7 first-half points per game.

Georgia is the more balanced team and there is a reason why they are favored here. I like the Dawgs to jump out to an early lead and take that into halftime.

My best bet: Georgia -3 first-half spread (-110 at bet365)
Picks made at time of writing may not reflect live odds.

Georgia vs Alabama same-game parlay

As always, our same-game parlay kicks off with my best bet which for the SEC Championship is Georgia on the first-half spread. I think part of the reason they build that lead will be because of the play of Carson Beck. 

Not many expected that the quarterback position was going to be a strength for the Dawgs this season. But that has been the case with Beck. His efficiency and decision-making has been outstanding to this point and is averaging 291.3 passing yards per game. Beck’s passing yards prop is sitting at 217.5. He’s gone Over that number in eight of 12 games this season.

Let’s close this SGP out with a Jalen Milroe prop. The Bulldogs can be a little vulnerable to the run. Georgia ranks 63rd in defensive success rate vs. the rush. Milroe’s rushing prop is sitting at 39.5. He’s gone Over that number five times this year, including in Bama’s biggest games. The Dawgs also don’t get a ton of sacks so maybe not a lot of lost yardage on Saturday. Take the Over.

Learn how to bet a same-game parlay with these helpful tips and strategies.

Georgia vs Alabama spread and Over/Under analysis

Georgia opened the SEC Championship as 4.5-point favorites and the line has already seen a fair amount of movement. The Bulldogs moved from the opener to 5.5 and then crept up as high as -6.5. But Alabama saw some buyback and it has dropped back down to 5.5.

It’s obviously a rarity that we get Alabama as an underdog at this number. But remember we were a Jalen Milore fourth and goal from the 31 miracle from this game meant a whole lot less. Georgia just doesn’t make the same mistakes that a team like Auburn or LSU does.

Georgia also has the better offensive line. The Dawgs will do a better job of keeping Beck clean than the Tide will do with Milroe. Georgia will force the Bama QB into a late mistake. I like the Bulldogs in the first half and I’d lean toward them on the full-game side at 5.5 as well.

When it comes to the total, it hit the board at 56 and has been bet down to 54.5. This game features two strong defenses and two teams that will try to establish the run. I’d agree with the early money here.

Georgia vs Alabama betting trend to know

Georgia has hit the first-half moneyline in their last four games away from Sanford Stadium for +4.0 units. Find more college football betting trends for Georgia vs Alabama.

Georgia vs Alabama game info

Georgia vs Alabama latest injuries

Georgia vs Alabama weather

Monitor gametime conditions with our College football weather info.

Stay updated with the latest picks, odds, and news! Tap the to add us to your favorites on Google News to never miss a story.

Pages related to this topic