Free NBA Pick: Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Odds
Looking for Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves free NBA picks & NBA Odds? NBA betting sees the Nuggets taking on the Timberwolves on Friday, May 10th, at the Target Center, in Minneapolis, Minnesota. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Nuggets Timberwolves matchup.
2024 NBA Playoffs Handicapping Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
(0-2) Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (2-0)
Date: Friday, May 10th
Time: 9:30 PM ET
Venue: Target Center
Moneyline NBA Odds: Nuggets – | Timberwolves + (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Timberwolves -4.5
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 204.5
The conference semi-finals between the second-seed Denver Nuggets and third-seed Minnesota Timberwolves shifts venues for the next two matches. Minnesota shocked the Nuggets sweeping the opening two contests in Denver including the 106-80 Game 2 beat down.
Season Series
For the past two seasons, these teams have split the season series each winning twice. Denver holds the all-time record between the squads with 89 victories in 145 matches.
This is the third time in franchise history the teams are meeting in the postseason with each side having advanced via a gentleman’s sweep in the first round.
The most recent meeting occurred last season in the Nuggets title run and notably, afterward Michael Malone said it was the toughest test they faced.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, on Thursday, May 9th. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Friday, May 10th.
Denver Nuggets
The defending champions’ backs are against the wall. Down 2-0 and on the road for the next two matches, they’ll need to win four of the next five games if they intend to repeat.
Despite Rudy Gobert being out in Game 2, the Nuggets struggled against the swarming defense of the Wolves despite Michael Malone and Jamal Murray demonstrating their dissatisfaction with the whistle (or lack of it).
It’s the first time in ages Nikola Jokic and his Nuggets have looked beatable with the health of Murray and KCP plus their lack of depth becoming problematic.
Nuggets Stats
In the season, Denver ranked fifth offensively (117.8) and eighth defensively (112.3) with a net differential of plus +5.5 ranking fourth overall.
This postseason, the Nuggets rank 12th offensively (109.1) and eighth defensively (111.4) with a minus -2.3 net differential ranking ninth.
Despite their overall placement, the Nuggets aren’t as solid against the spread with a 40-47-2 record through 89 contests.
Nuggets Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Kentavious Caldwell-Pope, SG (questionable right abdominal contusion)
- Jamal Murray, PG (questionable— calf strain)
- Reggie Jackson, PG (left last game, questionable — calf contusion)
- Vlatko Cancar, SF (OUT indefinitely— knee)
Minnesota Timberwolves
Rudy Gobert had quite a week with the birth of his first son, winning Defensive Player of the Year and his Wolves going up 2-0 in the series despite his absence.
Defense is the Wolves calling card, but what’s become abundantly clear is this team has hit their stride at the perfect time in the season. Anthony Edwards is playing like a superstar ready to take over the mantle from LeBron James and has his squad all following his lead.
Timberwolves Stats
Through the regular season, Minnesota ranked tied for 17th on offense (120.8) and first defensively (105.5) while they were a plus +15.3 net differential, ranking third overall.
In the playoffs, the Wolves rank tied for first offensively (121.6), and fourth defensively (108.9) with a plus +12.7 net differential ranking second overall.
The Wolves rode the middle with a 46-41-1 record against the spread through 88 matches this season.
Timberwolves Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Rudy Gobert, C (probable— personal)
- Monte Morris, PG (left last game, questionable — finger)
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Nuggets vs. Timberwolves NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Nuggets 9-4 ATS in their last 13 games.
- Denver is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games when playing on the road against Minnesota.
- Also, the Nuggets 5-2 SU in their last 7 games against Minnesota.
- By comparison, the Timberwolves are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 9 of Minnesota’s last 13 games against Denver.
- Additionally, the Wolves are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games at home.
Free Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Prediction:”
Push has come to shove as the Nuggets have to win this match or fall into a hole they won’t climb out of. Unlike their opponent, Denver has hit bad luck at the worst time with Murray, KCP, and Jackson all dealing with injuries.
Combining that with how well the Wolves are clicking makes this an uphill battle that even the Nuggets’ best might not be able to overcome.
Gobert will likely be awarded his DPoY pregame to amp up the crowd, while Jokic’s MVP will probably be presented in Denver if the Nuggets can win at least one of the next two matches.
All season I felt the Nuggets would return to the finals, but as I’ve often noted luck plays a part in every title run and health isn’t on Denver’s side. That said, it’s a given they won’t go down without a fight so expect their best effort in Game 3.
4* Free Denver Nuggets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves NBA Betting Pick: Nuggets +4.5
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NBA Tweet Of The Day
Only 1 team remains undefeated this postseason
The Minnesota Timberwolves. 🔥 pic.twitter.com/ZOGsXZYoOq
— Hoop Central (@TheHoopCentral) May 10, 2024
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