Free NBA Pick: Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA Odds
Looking for Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks free NBA picks & NBA odds? NBA betting sees the Timberwolves taking on the Mavericks on Tuesday, May 86th, at the American Airlines Center. Cappers Picks provides complimentary expert handicapping picks on all NBA basketball matchups so stay tuned for more FREE daily NBA hoops predictions like this Timberwolves Mavericks matchup.
2024 NBA Playoffs Handicapping Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Golden State Warriors
(0-3) Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks (3-0)
Date: Tuesday, May 28th
Time: 8:30 PM EST
Venue: Chase Center, San Francisco, California
Moneyline NBA Odds: Timberwolves +112| Mavericks -125 (Bet Now!)
NBA ATS Betting Odds: Mavericks -2
Today’s NBA Betting Total (O/U): 210.5
The Western Conference finals could wrap up on Tuesday as the Dallas Mavericks and Minnesota Timberwolves play Game 4. Dallas took a commanding 3-0 lead in the series and will seek a sweep while the Wolves look to extend the series.
The Boston Celtics punched their ticket to the NBA Finals and await the winner of this series after sweeping the Pacers.
Season Series
Last season the Wolves held the advantage, winning two of the three regular-season meetings and were equally successful this season taking the series 3-1. Dallas holds the all-time record between the squads with 77 victories in 136 matches.
The teams met just once before in the postseason in 2002 when first-round series were the best of five games with Dallas sweeping 3-0.
*Editor’s Note: Statistics and rankings are current as of this writing, Monday, May 27th. Numbers may vary slightly entering games on Tuesday, May 28th.
Minnesota Timberwolves
How quickly tides can change! Entering this series the Wolves looked unstoppable after defeating the defending champion Nuggets. Anthony Edwards and Karl-Anthony Towns laughed at the suggestion they hadn’t suffered enough given the Wolves playoff history.
Yet, flash forward three games with KAT in particular succumbing to the pressure. The self-proclaimed best shooting big man is shooting an abysmal 27.8% from the field and 13.6% from the perimeter in this series.
Timberwolves Stats
Through the regular season, Minnesota ranked tied for 17th on offense (120.8) and first defensively (105.5) while they were a plus +15.3 net differential, ranking third overall.
In the playoffs, the Wolves rank sixth offensively (115.7), and fifth defensively (109.9) with a plus +5.8 net differential ranking third overall.
The Wolves rode the middle with a 48-47-1 record against the spread through 96 matches this season.
Timberwolves Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
Dallas Mavericks
It’s not surprising Luka Doncic and Kyrie Irving are living up to expectations given their talent and experience, however even more impressive is their leadership.
Fifteen months ago when the Mavericks traded for Irving there was plenty of backlash given the guard’s recent troubles in Boston and Brooklyn.
Yet, he’s completely shifted the narrative and revamped his image with everyone on the roster citing him as the main reason the team is so close and playing with such chemistry.
Mavericks Stats
Dallas ranked eighth offensively (117.0) and 18th in defensive rating (114.9) with a net differential of plus +2.1 that ranked 15th overall.
To this point in the playoffs, Dallas ranks seventh offensively (114.8) and eighth defensively (111.4) with a plus +3.5 net differential ranking fifth.
The Mavericks perform well against the spread with a 58-39 record through 97 contests this season.
Mavericks Injury Report
To summarize the injury report…
- Luka Doncic, PG (probable — knee)
- Dereck Lively II, C (doubtful — neck)
- Maxi Kleber, PF (upgraded to questionable — shoulder)
- Olivier-Maxence Prosper, PF (OUT indefinitely —ankle)
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Timberwolves vs. Mavericks NBA Betting Trends:
- All in all, the Wolves are 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 6 of Minnesota’s last 8 games.
- Also, the Wolves are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games against Dallas.
- By comparison, Dallas is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games.
- The total has gone OVER in 4 of Dallas’ last 5 games.
- Additionally, the Mavericks are 5-0 SU in their last 5 games.
Free Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Prediction:
In the history of the NBA teams that take a 3-0 series lead are 155-0 (including the Celtics who just swept Indy). Ironically, the Wolves could just as easily be up 2-1 having lost two games by a total of four points but clutch time has been the bane of their existence.
Each time the teams hit that segment of the game Luka and Kyrie take over while the Wolves struggle to score or maintain composure.
Although AntMan said in the post-game he is always positive and will take that approach coming into this potential close-out game the player the Wolves need to step up is KAT.
With Lively expected to miss this match, now more than ever Towns needs to play to his size advantage. I warned of his prior playoff failings during the Nuggets series but he delivered — this was the KAT I was anticipating.
I do expect Edwards to bring the heat, it’s just in his DNA but he’ll need more from everyone around him to deliver and I’m not confident they will.
4* Free Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Dallas Mavericks NBA Betting Pick: Mavericks ATS
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