Free NCAA Pick: Virginia vs. North Carolina Odds
Looking for Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels free NCAA Week 8 picks & NCAA odds? NCAA betting sees the Cavaliers taking on the Tar Heels on Saturday, October 21st at the Kenan Memorial Stadium. Cappers Picks provides complimentary NCAA handicapping picks all season long including all NCAA Week 8 games so stay tuned for more FREE NCAA predictions like this Virginia North Carolina matchup.
2023 NCAAF Handicapping Analysis: Week 8
(1-5) Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels (6-0)
Date: Saturday, October 21st
Time: 6:30 ET
Venue: Kenan Memorial Stadium, Chapel Hill, NC
NCAA Week 8 ATS Betting Lines: (BET NOW!) Virginia +24 | North Carolina -24
Week 8 CFB Moneyline Odds: Virginia +1115 | North Carolina -2976
College Football Betting Total: O/U 57
Here’s today’s lowdown on the Week 8 NCAA football game. It’s the Virginia Cavaliers (1-5, 4-2 ATS) against the North Carolina Tar Heels (6-0, 5-1 ATS). The match is set for Saturday, October 21st, at 6:30 ET, happening at Kenan Memorial Stadium in Chapel Hill, NC. You can catch it on The CW.
Now, let’s check out the betting action. North Carolina is favored at -24, while Virginia’s moneyline odds are +1115, and North Carolina’s odds are -2976. The total betting line is set at O/U 57.
For some history, these ACC rivals have been going at it since 1953. UNC holds a 66-57-4 lead in the series. In their last meeting on November 5th, 2022, UNC won 31-28. When playing at home against UV, UNC has a strong record of 33-13-3.
And believe it or not, their rivalry goes way back to 1892, earning it the nickname “The South’s Oldest Rivalry” (even though it’s not the absolute oldest!). LOL.
In the most recent head-to-head matchup between the teams, North Carolina picked up the 31-28 win (last year). North Carolina had a good game in the passing attack vs. Virginia, putting 455 yards of offense with 293 yards through the air.
Virginia ran for 186 while throwing for 232.
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Virginia Cavaliers
Virginia is coming off a 27-13 win over the William & Mary. The Cavaliers benefited from a strong first-half, going into halftime with a 20-10 lead.
Having been the underdog in all of their games so far, Virginia has an ATS mark of 3-2. Their scoring margin for the season is -9.5 (per game).
This season, Virginia has an over/under record of 3-2. Their games have, on average, produced a combined total of 54.2 points, with the typical over/under line being 48.5 points.
Virginia Cavaliers Stats
The Cavaliers come into their matchup vs. North Carolina 50th in college football at 220 rushing attempts per game. This has translated to an average of 99.5 rushing yards per game, placing them 121st nationally.
Additionally, they’ve been airing it out 29.8 times each game, accumulating an average of 249.3 passing yards. In terms of scoring, they stand 76th, with 22.3 points per game.
In terms of passing yards allowed per game, Virginia’s defense is ranked 151st. Opponents, on average, attempt 28.5 passes against the Cavaliers. They are allowing 31.8 PPG, which places them 105th in college football.
Their rush defense ranks 132nd in the NCAA.
Offensively, the Cavaliers finished with one score on the ground against William & Mary while running for 221 rushing yards. In the passing attack, Virginia scored two times and threw the ball 26 times for 232 yards.
North Carolina Tar Heels
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The Tar Heels are coming off a game that featured plenty of scoring, pulling out a 41-31 win over Miami.
When looking at the spread, the Tar Heels are still undefeated at 5-0. The team’s scoring margin so far this year is at +16.3. So far, they have been favored in all of their games.
So far in this season, North Carolina has posted an over/under record of 2-3.
On average, their matchups have yielded a combined score of 58.3 points, with the typical over/under line set at 56.6 points.
North Carolina Tar Heels Stats
On the ground, the Tar Heels are 27th in college football at 251 attempts per game.
This has led to an average of 184.3 (53rd). So far, they have turned to the passing game 35.7 and have a per game average of 317. Overall, they are 24th in points (37.3 PPG).
In the passing game, the Tar Heels threw the ball 33 times for 273 and four scores against Miami. On the ground, they averaged 5.5 yards per carry and finished with one rushing touchdown
North Carolina’s defense holds the 84th rank in passing yards allowed per game as they head into this game. On average, opponents have made 36 passing attempts against the Tar Heels.
They have given up 21 points per game, which places them at 61st in college football. In the rush defense category, they rank 40th in the NCAA.
Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Football Betting Trends
- The Cavaliers are 3-2 in their last five games as an underdog.
- Conversely, the Tar Heels are 4-1 ATS in their last five games as a favorite.
- Also, the Cavaliers are 6-4 ATS in their last ten road games.
- On the other side, the Tar Heels have gone 6-3-1 across their last ten home games.
- Over the Cavaliers’ last 3 road games, the over/under record is 1-2.
- The Tar Heels’ have an over/under record of 1-2 in their last 3 games at home.
Virginia vs. North Carolina Line Movement
| Open-ML | Live-ML | Open-Spread | Live-Spread | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cavaliers | +1150 | +1115 | +24 | +24 |
| Tar Heels | -3335 | -2976 | -24 | -24 |
4* Free Week 8 NCAA Betting Prediction: Virginia +24
24 is a massive spread as noted above last year UNC only won by 3. Granted these two schools are going in different directions, but I don’t think it’s that different that you spot a team 24.
North Carolina has been dealing with turnovers in their passing game so far this year. My point spread pick is to take Virginia to cover the spread at +24.
Virginia are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games, and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games against UNC.
My model for the betting total on this one has UNC winning by 18, and the total comes in at 52. UNDER the total of 57 set by the books.
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of North Carolina’s last 12.
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Virginia Cavaliers vs. North Carolina Tar Heels NCAA Betting Tweet Of The Day
Almost “the oldest” rivalry! LOL
The South’s Oldest Rivalry returns to Chapel Hill this Saturday 😤#CarolinaFootball 🏈 #UNCommon pic.twitter.com/4T3tnYko3B
— Carolina Football (@UNCFootball) October 17, 2023
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